Path number 2 :The second path for Obama to pursue is the “Florida Path,” which would mean winning the Sunshine state and its 29 electoral votes. That total added to Kerry’s 246 electoral votes would equal 275.
Truthfully this is the EASIEST most plausible path for Obama because it ONLY involves 1 state.
But Obama only won Florida last time with 50.9% or less than 210,000 votes in a state of over 8 million voters
But in 2010 Florida elected a Republican governor and Republican Senator Marco Rubio. Mr Rubio is the top contender for the VP position he claims he does not want to seek.
“Mitt Romney is no Charlie Crist. Romney is a conservative. And he was one of the first national Republican leaders to endorse me. He came to Florida, campaigned hard for me, and made a real difference in my race.’”
Sounds like Mr Rubio likes Mr Romney now huh?
Rubio carried Florida in 2010 with almost 49% of the vote against a former Republican incumbent governor and a Democat
Whether Rubio is the VP or not, He clearly by far the most popular Florida politician and a major factor in attracting both the Tea party and Hispanic voting bloc as well as the younger voters given his youth and boyish charm.
Rubio along with Jeb Bush and Donald Trump are all very popular in Florida and have special axes to grind against President Obama
Jewish voters in Florida do not vote as one homogeneous group. They represent diverse political perspectives and resonate with a range of issues, which may suggest that their votes are up for grabs during the this election cycle. For example, most Orthodox Jews here are more conservative when it comes to Israel; they would also vote for school vouchers and would strongly support anyone who runs against President Obama.
Given Rubio’s popularity especially with Tea Party members ,conservatives, Hispanics and young folks and it would seem Obama’s chances of winning Florida is clearly less than 50% .Combine Obama’s divisive comments about Israel and you can see that the Florida path is certainly not an easy one
It also assumes Victories in Michigan Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that are no slam dunks.
However this plan is actually the most plausible for Mr Obama and in my opinion a must win for Mitt Romney in 2012