Author Archives: Admin

Morning Value Investing Observations – Wednesday July 13, 2011

If you self-manage your investments, the first thing you have to learn is that the markets have an ebb and flow just like the ocean tides. The flows up and down must be expected and considered normal and so are the subsequent ups and downs in one’s portfolio. There are times to step on the gas, times to lift your foot off the brakes and gas, and times to put your foot on the brakes. We may be getting close to putting our foot back on the gas for a run back up to resistance. I’ve talked about “metal capitol” and how precious it is. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Tuesday July 5, 2011

The US markets appear to be on track to continue the melt up as folks come out of vacation mode. We’re in a bit of a void in terms of data since it’s not until July 11th when Alcoa kicks off the second quarter earnings season with their announcement of their second quarter earnings results. Here’s what we have for economic data points for the balance of this week with Friday’s employment report being the most critical data point for this week: Continue reading

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July Here We Come – What Kind of Month Is July For The Markets?

Well, as part of my homework as a trader/investor, I took the time to gather 30 data points spanning the past 10 years across the 3 major market indexes and here’s what the past 10 years have yielded per index in July: Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Thursday June 23, 2011

BIO Forum subscribers know a top call was made at the end of April and those who follow my plays saw that I was rotating out of plays heavy in April despite having Calls that didn’t expire until May. Sometimes, the hardest thing to do as an investor or trader is to watch the markets after you have played your hand. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Monday June 20, 2011

This Monday morning looks like the market is going to get a haircut thanks to the lack of resolution on the Greek credit crisis. Smart investors will simply let this play out and save their dry powder for when shares of their favorite plays are on sale – kind of like shopping on the final days before Christmas when deep cuts in pricing are done by merchants who want to move their goods while the consumer is in spending mode. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Thursday June 16, 2011

With the markets downdraft nearly completing their 7th straight week since the May high, new value investors are probably the ones who are questioning their conviction in there positions. The seasoned value investors, well….that’s a different story. See, it’s one thing to ID a play with good fundamentals and real earnings that are sustainable going forward, and it’s another thing to take a position in that company at the “right price”. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Monday June 13, 2011

What’s next for the market? Frankly, no one knows for sure. Do I hope we have put in a bottom? Yes, of course…but hope is not a trading or investment strategy. At times like these when oversold indicators don’t seem to move from oversold and the market has just finished its 6th down week since the beginning of May, it’s our job as investors to keep looking under rocks for value and potential in companies with real earnings and strong balance sheets. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Friday June 10, 2011

Trading and investing isn’t always easy and there are times like this when the market comes to a cross-roads. Some folks didn’t hear or act on the warnings of a top coming from our April posts and I do think that unrealized losses since the May high are part of the game and only a concern IF you are using options with < 4 months before expiration. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Monday June 6, 2011

What’s next for the markets? That’s what traders or investors both ask themselves every day, but after 5 consecutive down weeks on the SP-500 (that hasn’t happened since July 2004 and also just after the 911 attack in 2002), that’s a question that’s rises to the top at times like these. Correct answer is no one really knows. The market is made up of a lot of pieces. There is an element of time frame that also needs to be defined in order for one to give a more accurate answer. Continue reading

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QE3 for the Economy? Will It Come?

Discussing whether the Fed will implement a third round of quantitative easing and why it would be more damaging than helpful Continue reading

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Intra-Day Observations Wed. June 1, 2011

You are not surprised by the tape today are you? Here’s an indicator that I’ve been watching and used to put on and take off shorts since the May correction started: Continue reading

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Just One Question (in that classic Clint Eastwood voice): “So, Are You Feeling Lucky??”

We know it’s a stock pickers market and I mentioned the following in this morning’s observations, but be honest…..are you? There’s something about the change from Spring to Summer seasons that overwhelmingly takes its share of flesh from investors across all indexes in the month of June. Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Friday May 27, 2011

Seems like the we may get a resolution to the upside on the SP-500’s short term trend if we get a close above the 1330+/- level today and that would put all three time frames back to UP. Realizing that the tape’s final hour’s movement is most important is important in avoiding getting whip sawed by mid day head fakes: Continue reading

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Cramer: 4 Bull Markets Happening Now

Pretty good piece by Cramer last night because this market correction will turn around and end. Use times like these to do homework on what plays may have legs and get your shopping list ready: Continue reading

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Morning Value Investing Observations – Thurs. May 26, 2011

Just like the ocean tides, there’s an ebb and flow in the market no different than when the tide comes in, then it goes slack, and then it goes out. Right now, it’s slack tide in the markets and they are different in that they don’t have exact cycle times have to reverse like tides do. What markets do is they do is health back-filling and retracement. Continue reading

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