Tag Archives: Safe Value Investing

One step back and two steps forward seems to be the rhythm of the market lately. As we discussed, this week is playing out as we put pressure on overhead resistance on both the 12,000 DOW level and 1,300 SP500 level. Earnings have been, for the most part, supportive of the current rally and tape levels however the divergence in the oscillators and breadth of the advance has to change and change soon, otherwise this rally will run out of steam and we’ll see profit taking by the Bulls (and of course the Bears will take credit for stopping the Bull’s advance and we know that’s BS…LOL). Bears get no credit from me until they can take out the 1280 support level on the SP500, until then, we’re on trend and that’s UP Smile. Continue reading →

We sure got a taste of both ends of the spectrum with yesterday’s tape and it was good to see the 1280 support held up like a champ. Yesterday’s tape was another pop quiz for your portfolio and looking at how your holdings performed was clearly an opportunity to ID what changes should be made in your holdings….I say that with the realization that earnings season volatility can be magnified and price action is often an over reaction to earnings statements and I don’t make hasty decisions until I see how a play’s price action shakes out over the subsequent days after earnings are announced and after the conference call provides more guidance going forward. Continue reading →

Know who you are….and if you don’t like who you are….make changes. See, the good thing about investing or changing is the only thing stopping you from being good at what you do is the space between your ears. Safe high yield value investing is possible if you are patient and you pick your targets carefully. The difference between value investing and trend trading is huge in that the value investor is not looking for momentum, they are simply looking to put there money to work only when they can get it in at the right price. Continue reading →